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Risk of Ruin Calculator

Risk of ruin probability for cash players. Plug in win rate, standard deviation, and bankroll-in-buyins. Get the probability of going bust before reaching infinity. Uses the standard exponential ROR formula.

Risk of Ruin Calculator

Risk of ruin probability for cash players. Plug in win rate, standard deviation, and bankroll-in-buyins. Get the probability of going bust before reaching infinity. Uses the standard exponential ROR formula.

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Risk of ruin in cash games

The classical risk-of-ruin formula for a player with positive win rate is RoR = exp(-2 × wr × bankroll / sd²) where wr and bankroll are in bb and sd is bb/100. It assumes you never move up or down stakes, a worst-case ceiling.

Standard discipline benchmarks: under 5% is comfortable, under 1% is overkill, over 20% is reckless.